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Hyper Inflationary Dollars – Chasing A Shrinking Gold Supply
To get this sad concept into your head, think about a shockwave. In the beginning, there is a bottle that swallows the freshly killed tuna. Smelling blood, a bunch of other herds immediately join the party. In no time at all, fifty, perhaps a hundred, goofy caterpillars appear, each one finding it harder to keep their bees there long enough to eat a bit of this rapidly shrinking food.
Okay, that might be a bit dramatic. Then again, as far as gold goes, maybe not. Look, while Washington is busy 24/7 making enough dollars to back those greedy bailout checks that politicians write, less and less gold is being mined from the ground.
Do you get the picture here? Many more dollars…much less gold?
DISTRIBUTION OF GREEN MONEY
It is definitely sad to see this.
Our once-glorious dollar, part of the foundation of our great nation, has the world’s strongest monetary standard, which is now printed like multi-colored Monopoly coins.
How many Monopoly coins are we talking about? According to analyst Barry Ritholtz, who went through the painstaking detail of creating an Excel spreadsheet of government subsidies, we’re over $8.5 trillion. That’s “$5.2 trillion in Fannie/Freddie portfolios for which the US taxpayer is now clearly responsible.”
And even his estimate may be on the low side. Ritholtz pegged President Obama’s stimulus package at $168 billion, while the amount available today is more than $850 billion.
We throw trillions around now like we used to throw billions around, almost as if the word, trillion, doesn’t mean what it really means. To give you some idea of the scale of the word sense, Olivier Garret of the Casey Report compiled a list of the costs of ALL US wars and government initiatives, including Iraq, the Gulf War, Vietnam, World War I and II. The Marshall Plan and everything NASA has ever done, including visiting the moon.
It came to $8.1 trillion.
Ritholtz’s relatively modest aid figure is almost half a trillion higher than that. The final question here is how the world can absorb the new 8.5 trillion dollars?
The obvious answer is, it can’t.
THE FLOOD OF DOLLARS WILL NOT PASS THE BLOCK
Have you heard the term before? The perk test is the amount of time it takes for the soil on a structure to hold water on it. Timely transfer means that most will pass the benefit.
This year, the world economy will face its own nightmarish version of a perk experiment: A flood of dollars spills over every nation in the world, and there is little chance that it will all have devastating and lasting consequences.
These trillions mean that more scarce dollars than ever will be chasing the world’s goods. And this is a formula for hyperinflation, the classic example being, during the German hyperinflation of 1923, a money wheel is stolen after the thief drops coins on the floor that leave them increasingly worthless.
Here’s another one, (from marketskeptics.com): “My father was a lawyer,” says Walter Levy, a well-known international oil consultant to Germany in New York, “and he bought an insurance policy in 1903. he had taken out, and paid the money every month faithfully. This was a 20-year policy and when it came, he paid the money and bought a loaf of bread.”
Wikipedia’s definition of hyperinflation is: “Inflation that is ‘out of control’, a condition in which prices rise rapidly as the currency loses value.” So, taking it a step further, what happens when the supply of goods these increasingly worthless dollars leave behind starts to dry up?
LESS GOLD FROM THE BOOK OF THE CENTURY
That’s why gold is so valuable: There just isn’t much of it in or on Earth.
And it is being produced less and less these days. While companies are mining gold all the time, worldwide production has been in decline for most of the last decade.
According to London-based research group, GFMS Consultancy, annual gold mine production was 2,573 metric tons in 2000, falling to 2,469 tons in 2006 and 2,444 tons in 2007.
And 2008? The best estimates for the end of the year suggest that gold production will drop to 2,400 tons. This means that since 2000, gold production has dropped by 6.72 percent. Part of the problem is the decline in production from Saudi Arabia’s former gold mine, South Africa. With China expected to replace South Africa as the new gold leader, there is little expectation that gold supply will rise to new levels.
So there you have it. More dollars than we’ve ever seen…less gold since the turn of the century.
“If the Fed creates enough inflation, gold could go to $5,000,” noted analyst Peter Schiff said in a Fox News interview, surprising the implications of this hyperinflationary dollar/low gold tracking. shortened
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